The World Bank Economic Review Advance Access originally published online on October 10, 2007
The World Bank Economic Review 2007 21(3):439-460; doi:10.1093/wber/lhm015
Crises, Volatility, and Growth
Enisse Kharroubi is an economist at the Bank of France; his email address is enisse.kharroubi{at}banque-france.fr
JEL codes: E44, G30, O16
How do volatility and liquidity crises affect growth? When credit is constrained, a bias toward short-term debt can arise in financing long-term investments, generating maturity mismatches and leading potentially to liquidity crises. The frequency of liquidity crises ("abnormal" volatility) and the volatility of growth ("normal" volatility) are found to have independent negative effects on growth. Financial development however dampens the growth cost of volatility, but only in the case of normal volatility. The growth cost of volatility therefore depends critically on the composition of normal and abnormal volatility, the latter being more costly for growth.